Monday 19 September 2011

Blog for Vittarth@ IIT Roorkee by N_Corp

Yours truly has entered into an agreement with Vittarth to design and maintain their blog. Have a look at the new look of http://vittarth-domsiitroorkee.blogspot.com/ blog.

Any of the readers who want the same can contact me here.

Market updates 19/09/2011 by N_Corp

Today was a beautiful day for me. It was revanche. The money I lost on that fateful day of market fall has been reaped on another day of market fall! It is one of that days that makes you feel more happy.

Thursday 15 September 2011

Market update 15/09/2011 by N_Corp.

The market ways wavy and closed 167 above yesterday.
I am a stock trader and as such do not have much interest in commodity market, I have always felt that the potential in stocks is much more than that in commodities; hence the apathy.  Yesterday though, my attention was captured by the 'exponential' rise in gold price in the last 2 months (courtesy Armaan; not for the price rise but for drawing my attention to it.) So I have decided to share it with my readers and pass neither any judgement nor advice over the events. This is a mere presentation of real life events. Charts for a period of 20 yrs, 5yrs and 6 months are produced here. The interested reader can draw his conclusions and future course of action. 




I know what the erudite reader is  thinking and I shall only produce one more chart to present a fuller picture and the vagaries of life. Hope, you shall take the right decision.



Wednesday 14 September 2011

Market updates 14/09/2011 by N_Corp

The market gained 242 points today. Good.

During the initial hours there seemed to be a sense of apprehension in the market and it hovered around yesterday's closing range. But as soon as positive cues started to seep in from the global markets, the determination was evident. The market rose and stayed high. 

This day was a relief after yesterday's carnage. Yours truly also recovered yesterday's losses; partially.
The day was fine and though we wish for a few more of such days, our analysis predicts another major drop within next three days. Its is advised again to be cautious during tomorrow's session and divide your activities into two sessions: 0900-1200 and 1230-1530 sessions. 

BSE Sensex
INRUSD

Tuesday 13 September 2011

Market updates 13/09/2011 by N Corp

Today is one of those days that make you feel less happy. Yup, I lost a few bucks to the market today! Anyhow, the best part of being a day trader is the freedom to let bygones be bygones.

Well the market started well today, like a young man who has decided to run a marathon and make a world record for speed simultaneously, as can be expected, neither was accomplished. It rose strongly to 16765 giving false hopes to those who want to see a silver lining in everything. Even the best of traders became optimistic(including yours truly) against their better judgement and analysis. All looked sunny and life was beautiful again when...

It started to nosedive. The feeling in there was like travelling in plane that has run out of its fuel, you wait for the inevitable to come... the triggers to go off and huge losses smile at you from above. The market tumbled to 16378. Approximately 400 hundred points in 2 hours that is around 3 points per minute; phenomenal!


Now we come to the question, which is your companion in solitude: "Why did she do it?" The answer is to be found in the timing when she started to behave erratic. It was precisely the time when the European markets open and information and trends start to permeate in the Indian market. As has been mentioned by me in my earlier post that that the uncertainty in Europe due to the ongoing debt crisis shall linger for a while and continue to affect Indian markets till they get used to it (which might very well be- never).  Also the weak position of INR against USD is a contributing factor. 

The market closed at 16467 i.e. 34 points lower to yesterday's. 

As if all this was not enough drama for one day, the Indian rupee further tumbled to a new one-year low.
The Indian Rupee has touched a new one year-low (INRUSD 47.60771 ).
Just notice the steep rise (fall in value) towards the end.
Finally, some of the lucky guys who shorted at 1200 Hrs are hereby congratulated by me and reminded too that Fortune is a blind woman; and those who gloat over it are best laughed at later.



The power of google. by N_Corp

This is just a piece of appreciation that comes straight from my heart (if there is such a thing in here!). Google is a revolution, it has changed the way we live and if I were asked to name an organization that will find its way to being one of the greatest achievements of mankind; no doubt my answer would be GOOGLE.

Coming back to the case at hand, this article has been written to encourage people, who have their own blogs and websites, to use google adsense. Why, you ask? Well a 'dollar' is worth a thousand words. Lemme show you some. I enabled my google adsense for this blog at 1700Hrs. IST on 12th Sept. 2011 and by the end of the day I had approx. $4 in my account. Look for yourself.






This way, google not only supports those who have ideas and knowledge but also makes them independent enough to pursue their goals with the most powerful weapon of all: wealth. For any further help, contact yours truly. 

Monday 12 September 2011

Dumping and the world by N_Corp

A wise man once said that the Indians are obsessed with cleanliness of our kitchen; yet never even think twice before dumping garbage on streets. Well this activity has got a whole new meaning and a whole new audience. Now many nations are accused of this ‘heinous crime’ on a day to day basis. Though legally speaking ‘dumping’ is not a ‘crime’ as per WTO, which surely does not encourage it but at the same time permits this activity. Things get funnier when China comes into picture, read on…
Well what really is dumping? Dumping is exporting a product to another nation at a price below normal value. Now that raises another question: what is this ‘normal value’? It is a price that the exporting nation charges in its domestic market (or an approximation thereof).
Now we see why dumping is discouraged. Firstly it comes under the classification of predatory pricing. Secondly and more importantly it distorts the domestic market of the importing nation. Why allow it then? On the name of free market? Well your objection is justified and under GATT, nations can take action against dumping so that the final value of the foreign product in their market is close to normal value of the dumped product at home. Authorities investigate such cases and impose punishment that is valid for roughly/generally a term of 5 years. The incidence of these cases is maximum in two obvious nations. Argentina being one and the other being… yes… INDIA.
Finally we come to the astounding bit. China is not granted a "Market Economy Status" by the EU. Seems trivial? But it is not, for now the perplexing question arises: when cases of dumping come up against China, how do we calculate the normal value of Chinese product.  To do so, an ‘analogue market’ is chosen, i.e. the normal value is calculated for that domestic market. Now which market do you think is usually chosen as an analogue for China? Well… wait for it… its USA! Yes the very same USA which outsources to China because of cheap cost of input factors!
(still to come: Dumping and the Indian steel industry)

Turbulant times ahead by N_Corp

The market today has given a glimpse into the near future. Guys if you are making decent profits (of course a subjective measure) its high time to go selling! The European crisis seems to be never ending and added to it are the perplexing macroeconomic figures of Indian economy.

Added to it are the technical analysts' undying belief on esoteric power of charts and the adage that history repeats itself. The question this technical analyst asks is: are we in for a head and shoulders pattern? Enlarge the chart and decide for yourself:

BSE Sensex during the period from 14th Sept 2010 to 12th Sept 2011

For day traders its time for some short selling action. Be cautious of the spikes though, they can wipe off your month's earning. Remember how you got caught into one the last time you shorted a weak stock. Divine justice eh? Well, don't worry about the moral side, the short sellers do a balancing act and the are like the overseers who stop bubbles from growing beyond proportions. You guys save innocent people from the ruin that a bubble-burst brings along. Happy shorting cowboy!



Just look at these stocks! falling like bags of sand. how much has the market lost in one single hour! The shiny star has turned into a black hole!

Market updates 12/09/2011 by N_Corp

1327 Hrs
Sensex dives 380 pts; Metal, IT, bank shed 2.5-3%

1510 Hrs

One hell of a roller coaster ride today!


Markets all over the world are falling today (reported at 1500 Hrs IST).



Indian Rupee at a new one-year low! (INRUSD 47.27685)

Saturday 10 September 2011

Practical guide to stock trading for beginners by N_Corp











हिंदी भाषी निवेशकों हेतु.

आप सभी पाठक गण का मेरे ब्लॉग पर हार्दिक स्वागत है.

यह ब्लॉग खासकर स्टॉक मार्केट की गतिविधियों से सम्बंधित जानकारियां देने हेतु बनाया गया है. यहाँ पर हम अपेक्षा करते हैं की पाठक गण, वित्त सम्बन्धी विषयों का अध्यन कर चूका हो. हमारी कोशिश होगी की आपको एक सफल निवेशक बना सके ताकि आप अपने और अपनों के लिए देखे गए भविष्य को संवार और निखार सके.

मेरी भाषा मेरे हृदय के अत्यंत निकट है और मेरा प्रयास रहेगा की मै अपने हिंदी के पाठको के साथ न्याय कर सकूं.

प्रारंभ में मै स्टॉक मार्केट के बारे में प्रचलित कुछ मिथक दूर करना चाहूँगा और साथ ही कुछ जानकरियां भी देना चाहूँगा:

१. स्टॉक मार्केट में निवेश करना कोई जुआं या बुर लत नहीं!

२. स्टॉक मार्केट में निवेशक बनने हेतु किसी विशेष डिग्री या सर्तिफिकाते की आवशकता नहीं!

३. स्टॉक मार्केट पूरी तरह एक कानूनी साधन है धन संचय करने का यदि आप सरकार को बाकायदा टैक्स अदा करते हैं.

४. स्टॉक मार्केट में धन की बढ़ोतरी किसी भी अन्य साधन से बेहतर और कई गुना की जा सकती है यदपि इसमें कुछ जोखिम अवश्य है.

Friday 9 September 2011

The stock market by N_Corp.


 It is a land of dreams, where fortunes are made.

The potential here is immense and the opportunities countless. This comes from a day trader who thinks he has been able to fathom the shallow shores of this abysmal ocean. Yes, I still am at the shores after more than 3 years of trading.  I can swim and enjoy the thrill!

Recently there has been a change in my schedule and I only get an hour or two, I skip my lunch and trade. Why, you ask? If I were to pay you 500 bucks per hour for playing an enjoyable game, won’t you?  The market’s not only a place of work for me, it’s a part of my way of life. I don’t know what it has learned from me but I have been taught few of the most vital lessons of my life by it...

I, like any young man, had been quite inquisitive about the ‘truth’, ‘meaning’ and ‘purpose’ of life. Time and again I felt that whatever wisdom was available to me had something lacking in it. Then stock market happened to me. I came to know that whatever happens in this world does not happen for a reason but because of one. It is the cumulative direction of a multitude's thinking/actions that guides the events in this world, hence the events can be predicted to a certain degree of accuracy. As the sample space increases the probability of success of forecast increase. For example, you cannot always say with certainty how will one person react to a particular item of news but you certainly can predict how a group will react to it with an appreciable amount of certainty.

Lesson no. 2 was to leverage practicality and rationality while discounting emotions. Emotions are like cancerous tissue; you never know when they will start to grow beyond control. In the stock market where you are pitched against the rest, a weakness in you can cause havoc. Panic, fear, elation and celebration all these are to be studied but never practiced. One has to understand these emotions in others to achieve his goal. Let me give u a simple example. The price of stocks of N corp. pvt. ltd falls by 1%. A rumor spreads in the market (thanks to information technology, the speed of light is the upper limit and quite achievable for rumors to travel at) that the stock is ‘going under’, emotions stir up, PANIC spreads, now what do you do? When you can find an answer which you think merits attention, you can very well go ahead and do it (consult, if you wish).

Well, with long practice and exposure to uncertain conditions of day trading you will soon realize that a part of your brain tingles when uncertainty faces you, it is the rationality area. You can feel it only if other distractions (of emotions) are not there. Then you strike, strike a decisive well thought action. And the best thing about stock market is that you instantly come to know the result of your actions. Either you are rewarded with tangible profits or stinging losses, thereby bringing about a change in your behavior as per the reinforcement theory. Learning happens. Next time you are wiser and readier. Someone once said, if you have seen ‘n’ different situations, the probability that you have experienced the (n+1)th situation increases with the value of n. At n 'tending to' infinite you are the Oracle!

to be continued....